The Improbability Principle

Publisher : Scientific American / Farrar, Straus and Giroux

ISBN-13 : 0374711399

Page : 288 pages

Rating : 4.5/5 from 399 voters

In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand argues that extraordinarily rare events are anything but. In fact, they're commonplace. Not only that, we should all expect to experience a miracle roughly once every month. But Hand is no believer in superstitions, prophecies, or the paranormal. His definition of "miracle" is thoroughly rational. No mystical or supernatural explanation is necessary to understand why someone is lucky enough to win the lottery twice, or is destined to be hit by lightning three times and still survive. All we need, Hand argues, is a firm grounding in a powerful set of laws: the laws of inevitability, of truly large numbers, of selection, of the probability lever, and of near enough. Together, these constitute Hand's groundbreaking Improbability Principle. And together, they explain why we should not be so surprised to bump into a friend in a foreign country, or to come across the same unfamiliar word four times in one day. Hand wrestles with seemingly less explicable questions as well: what the Bible and Shakespeare have in common, why financial crashes are par for the course, and why lightning does strike the same place (and the same person) twice. Along the way, he teaches us how to use the Improbability Principle in our own lives—including how to cash in at a casino and how to recognize when a medicine is truly effective. An irresistible adventure into the laws behind "chance" moments and a trusty guide for understanding the world and universe we live in, The Improbability Principle will transform how you think about serendipity and luck, whether it's in the world of business and finance or you're merely sitting in your backyard, tossing a ball into the air and wondering where it will land.

More Books:

The Improbability Principle
Language: en
Pages: 288
Authors: David J. Hand
Categories: Mathematics
Type: BOOK - Published: 2014-02-11 - Publisher: Scientific American / Farrar, Straus and Giroux

In The Improbability Principle, the renowned statistician David J. Hand argues that extraordinarily rare events are anything but. In fact, they're commonplace.
The Improbability Principle by David J. Hand (Summary)
Language: en
Authors: QuickRead
Categories: Study Aids
Type: BOOK - Published: - Publisher:

Do you want more free book summaries like this? Download our app for free at and get access to hundreds of free book and audiobook
A Practical Guide to Successful Construction Projects
Language: en
Pages: 340
Authors: Arent van Wassenaer
Categories: Law
Type: BOOK - Published: 2017-04-21 - Publisher: Taylor & Francis

Written by experienced and innovative projects lawyer Arent van Wassenaer, this book explains what the critical success factors are for construction projects to
Dark Data
Language: en
Pages: 344
Authors: David J. Hand
Categories: Computers
Type: BOOK - Published: 2022-02-15 - Publisher: Princeton University Press

"Data describe and represent the world. However, no matter how big they may be, data sets don't - indeed cannot - capture everything. Data are measurements - an
The Principles of the Law of Evidence
Language: en
Pages: 768
Authors: William Mawdesley Best
Categories: Cross-examination
Type: BOOK - Published: 1893 - Publisher:

The Principles of Biology
Language: en
Pages: 522
Authors: Herbert Spencer
Categories: Biology
Type: BOOK - Published: 1891 - Publisher:

Intellectual principles: or, Elements of mental science: intuitions-thoughts-beliefs
Language: en
Pages: 296
Authors: John Hensley Godwin
Categories: Belief and doubt
Type: BOOK - Published: 1884 - Publisher:

The Principles and Practice of Dentistry
Language: en
Pages: 794
Authors: Chapin Aaron Harris
Categories: Dentistry
Type: BOOK - Published: 1879 - Publisher:

Principles of the Law of Wills
Language: en
Pages: 548
Authors: Stewart Chaplin
Categories: Wills
Type: BOOK - Published: 1892 - Publisher:

Principles of biology
Language: en
Authors: Herbert Spencer
Categories: Philosophy
Type: BOOK - Published: 1896 - Publisher: